褰崥鏂拌兘婧�璨＄稉(j墨ng)鏈€鏂板嚭鐖愮殑鏂拌兘婧愬競鍫撮暦鏈熷睍鏈涘牨鍛婇’绀�锛�澶櫧鑳�鐧�(f膩)闆诲強闄镐笂棰�(f膿ng)闆绘垚鏈皣鍦� 2040 骞村墠鍒嗗垾閫�(j矛n)涓€姝ヤ笅闄� 66%鍙� 47%锛屽彲鍐嶇敓鑳芥簮灏囧湪 2030 骞村墠瀵︾従(xi脿n)姣斿ぇ澶氭暩(sh霉)鍖栫煶鑳芥簮闆诲粻鏇翠綆鐨勯亱鐕熸垚鏈€�
2017 骞� 6 鏈� 15 鏃�锛屽€暒鍜岀磹绱� 鈥� 鏍规摎(j霉)褰崥鏂拌兘婧愯病缍�(j墨ng)浠婂ぉ鐧�(f膩)甯冪殑閲嶈鐛ㄧ珛闋�(y霉)娓�锛屽お闄借兘鍜岄ⅷ(f膿ng)闆荤瓑鍙啀鐢熻兘婧愬皣鍦ㄨ嚜浠婅嚦 2040 骞寸殑鏂板鐧�(f膩)闆绘妧琛�(sh霉)绱▓鎶曡硣绺介 10.2 钀剟缇庡厓鐣�(d膩ng)涓崰鎿�(j霉)杩戝洓鍒嗕箣涓�銆�
褰崥鏂拌兘婧愯病缍�(j墨ng)鏈€鏂扮櫦(f膩)甯冪殑闀锋湡闋�(y霉)娓牨鍛娿€�2017 骞存柊鑳芥簮灞曟湜銆嬮’绀�锛屽叏鐞冮浕鍔涚郴绲�(t菕ng)鐨勪綆纰冲寲閫�(j矛n)绋嬬浉姣斿幓骞寸殑闋�(y霉)娓祼(ji茅)鏋滄洿鐐哄揩閫� 鈥� 鍏ㄧ悆鑼冨湇鍏�(n猫i)鐨勭⒊鎺掓斁灏囧湪 2026 骞撮仈(d谩)鍒伴爞宄�锛�2040 骞寸殑纰虫帓鏀炬按骞崇浉姣� 2016 骞撮€�(j矛n)涓€姝ラ檷浣� 4%銆�
褰崥鏂拌兘婧愯病缍�(j墨ng)銆�2017 骞存柊鑳芥簮灞曟湜銆嬪牨鍛婄殑涓昏浣滆€� Seb Henbest 琛ㄧず锛氣€滀粖骞寸殑鍫卞憡椤ず鍑哄叏鐞冮浕鍔涚郴绲�(t菕ng)鐨勭稜鑹插寲鍕笉鍙搵锛岄€欏緱鐩婁簬澶櫧鑳藉拰棰�(f膿ng)闆绘垚鏈殑蹇€熶笅闄嶄互鍙婂寘鎷噳(y墨ng)鐢ㄥ湪闆诲嫊姹借粖鍏�(n猫i)鐨勭瓑澶氱ó闆绘睜鎶€琛�(sh霉)鍦ㄥ钩琛￠浕鍔涗緵闇€涓棩鐩婂寮�(qi谩ng)鐨勪綔鐢�?锛�?br /> 銆�2017 骞存柊鑳芥簮灞曟湜銆嬪牨鍛婄敱褰崥鏂拌兘婧愯病缍�(j墨ng) 65 鍚嶈硣娣辫兘婧愬垎鏋愬斧绲勬垚鐨勪富鍔涚爺绌跺湗(tu谩n)闅婃鏅� 8 鍊嬫湀瀹屾垚寤烘ā鍙婂垎鏋愩€傚牨鍛婂畬鍏ㄥ熀浜庡悇鍦嬬殑鍎插倷闆诲姏闋呯洰銆佺櫦(f膩)闆荤稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)鏁堢泭闋�(y霉)娓互鍙婇浕鍔涚郴绲�(t菕ng)鍕曟厠(t脿i)鍒嗘瀽銆傛湰鍫卞憡鍋囧畾鐣�(d膩ng)鍓嶈(b菙)璨煎埌鏈熷悗鍏ㄧ悆鑳芥簮鏀跨瓥涓嶆渻鐧�(f膩)鐢熻畩鍖栥€�
浠ヤ笅鏄粖骞撮爯(y霉)娓牨鍛婁腑鐨勪竴浜涢噸瑕佽榛烇細
澶櫧鑳藉拰棰�(f膿ng)闆诲皣涓诲鏈締闆诲姏绯荤当(t菕ng)
鎴戝€戦爯(y霉)瑷堟柊澧炲彲鍐嶇敓鑳芥簮鐨勬姇璩囩附椤嶅皣鍦� 2040 骞村墠閬�(d谩)鍒� 7.4 钀剟缇庡厓 - 鍗犲叏鐞冩柊澧炵櫦(f膩)闆绘姇璩囩附椤� 10.2 钀剟缇庡厓涓殑 72%銆傚叾涓紝澶櫧鑳芥姇璩囧崰 2.8 钀剟缇庡厓锛岃姗�(j墨)瀹归噺灏囪簫澧� 14 鍊�锛涢ⅷ(f膿ng)闆绘姇璩囧崰 3.3 钀剟缇庡厓锛岃姗�(j墨)瀹归噺灏囧鍔� 4 鍊嶃€傚埌 2040 骞�锛岄ⅷ(f膿ng)闆诲拰澶櫧鑳藉皣鍗犲叏鐞冭姗�(j墨)绺�?c猫)钀樺悍?48%鍙婄櫦(f膩)闆婚噺鐨� 34%锛屽垎鍒ヨ純鐩墠鐨� 12% 鍜� 5%鏈夊法澶ф彁鍗�銆�
澶櫧鑳藉皣鐐虹叅闆诲付渚嗘洿澶ц寖鍦嶇殑鎸戞埌(zh脿n)
鐣�(d膩ng)鍓�鍏変紡鐧�(f膩)闆荤殑骞虫簴(zh菙n)鍖栨垚鏈儏鐐� 2009 骞寸殑鍥涘垎涔嬩竴锛岄爯(y霉)瑷堝埌 2040 骞村皣閫�(j矛n)涓€姝ヤ笅闄� 66%銆傚埌 2040 骞达紝涓€缇庡厓鍙互璩艰卜鐩哥暥(d膩ng)浜庣従(xi脿n)鍦� 2.3 鍊嶇殑澶櫧鑳介浕鍔�銆傚お闄借兘鍦ㄥ痉鍦�銆佹境澶у埄浜炪€佺編鍦�銆佽タ鐝墮鍜屾剰澶у埄宸茬稉(j墨ng)鑷冲皯鑸囩叅闆诲児鏍兼寔骞�銆傚埌 2021 骞达紝涓湅銆佸嵃搴︺€佸ⅷ瑗垮摜銆佽嫳鍦嬪拰宸磋タ鐨勫お闄借兘鍍规牸灏囧悓妯ｄ綆浜庣叅闆伙紙闂�(gu膩n)浜庡钩婧�(zh菙n)鍖栨垚鏈殑瀹氱京璜嬭涓嬫枃瑾槑锛夈€�
闄镐笂棰�(f膿ng)闆绘垚鏈揩閫熶笅闄�锛屾捣涓婇ⅷ(f膿ng)闆绘垚鏈笅闄嶆洿蹇�
寰楃泭浜庨枊鐧�(f膩)缍�(j墨ng)椹楁棩鐩婅睈瀵�銆佺鐖姞鍔囥€侀ⅷ(f膿ng)闅檷浣�銆佸ぇ鍨嬮爡鐩拰澶у瀷棰�(f膿ng)姗�(j墨)鐨勮(gu墨)妯＄稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)鏁堟噳(y墨ng)鍑搁’绛夊洜绱狅紝娴蜂笂棰�(f膿ng)鍔涚櫦(f膩)闆�鎴愭湰灏囧湪2040 骞村墠澶у箙涓嬮檷 71%銆傝垏姝ゅ悓鏅傦紝闄镐笂棰�(f膿ng)闆绘垚鏈皣鍦ㄩ亷鍘� 8 骞村凡缍�(j墨ng)涓嬮檷 30%鐨勫熀绀�(ch菙)涓婇€�(j矛n)涓€姝ラ檷浣� 47%锛岄€欐鍔熶簬棰�(f膿ng)姗�(j墨)鎴愭湰鐨勪笅闄嶅拰鏁堢巼鐨勬彁鍗囧強鏇寸簿绨＄殑閬嬬董娴佺▼銆�
涓湅鍜屽嵃搴﹁兘婧愰牁(l菒ng)鍩熻槉(y霉n)钘� 4 钀剟缇庡厓鎶曡硣姗�(j墨)鏈�
鍒� 2040 骞达紝涓湅鍜屽嵃搴﹀皣鍒嗗垾鍦ㄥ叏鐞冪櫦(f膩)闆婚牁(l菒ng)鍩熺疮瑷堟姇璩囦腑鍗犲埌 28%鍜� 11%銆備簽澶湴鍗€(q奴)鍦ㄧ櫦(f膩)闆婚牁(l菒ng)鍩熺殑绺芥姇璩囪(gu墨)妯″皣鍩烘湰鐩哥暥(d膩ng)浜庤垏涓栫晫鍏跺畠鍦板崁(q奴)鐨勭附鍜�銆傚叾涓�锛岄ⅷ(f膿ng)闆诲拰澶櫧鑳藉皣鍚勫崰杩戜笁鍒嗕箣涓€銆�18%鐐烘牳闆绘姇璩囥€�10%鐐虹叅闆诲拰澶╃劧姘ｆ姇璩�銆�
闆绘睜绛夋柊鍨嬮潏娲绘€у閲忓皣鍔╁姏鍙啀鐢熻兘婧愮櫦(f膩)灞�
鎴戝€戦爯(y霉)瑷堢従(xi脿n)闅庢鍒� 2040 骞翠箣闁擄紝鐢ㄤ簬鍎茶兘绯荤当(t菕ng)鐨勯嫲闆㈠瓙闆绘睜甯傚牬瑕�(gu墨)妯″皣鑷冲皯閬�(d谩)鍒� 2390 鍎勭編鍏�銆傞浕寤犵礆鍎茶兘闆绘睜鍦ㄩ潏娲昏(di脿o)宄伴牁(l菒ng)鍩熻垏澶╃劧姘ｇ櫦(f膩)闆昏姗�(j墨)鐨勭鐖皣鏃ョ泭婵€鐑堛€傚鐢ㄨ垏宸ュ晢妤�(y猫)灏忓瀷鍏夊劜绯荤当(t菕ng)灏囧湪 2040 骞村墠鍗犲埌涓栫晫鍎茶兘绺�?c猫)钀樺悍?57%銆傛垜鍊戦爯(y霉)瑷堝彲鍐嶇敓鑳芥簮鐨勬櫘鍙婄巼鑷� 2040 骞村湪寰峰湅銆佺編鍦嬨€佷腑鍦嬪拰鍗板害灏囧垎鍒ラ仈(d谩)鍒�74%銆�38%銆�55%鍜� 49%銆�
闆诲嫊姹借粖灏囨敮鎾愮敤闆婚渶姹傚苟鍔╁姏闆荤恫(w菐ng)骞宠　
鍒� 2040 骞�锛岄浕鍕曟苯杌婄敘(ch菐n)鐢熺殑闆诲姏闇€姹傚皣鍒嗗垾鍗�?x矛)W娲插拰缇庡湅鐧�(f膩)闆婚噺鐨� 13%鍜� 12%銆傞浕鍕曟苯杌婂彲浠ュ湪鍙啀鐢熻兘婧愮櫦(f膩)闆诲嘲鏅傚拰鎵圭櫦(f膩)闆诲児铏曚簬浣庝綅鏅傞潏娲诲厖闆伙紝灏囨湁鍔╀簬闆诲姏绯荤当(t菕ng)鏇村ソ鍦版秷绱嶅お闄借兘鍜岄ⅷ(f膿ng)闆荤瓑闁撴瓏鎬ц兘婧�銆傞浕鍕曟苯杌婄殑鐧�(f膩)灞曞皣鎺ㄥ嫊閶伴洟瀛愰浕姹犵殑鎴愭湰鍦� 2030 骞村墠涓嬮檷 73%銆�
瀹剁敤鍏変紡绯荤当(t菕ng)鍙楀埌妤�(y猫)涓婚潚鐫�
鍒� 2040 骞�锛屽眿闋傚厜浼忓皣鍦ㄦ境娲�銆佸反瑗裤€佸痉鍦�銆佹棩鏈�銆佺編鍦嬪拰鍗板害鐨勭櫦(f膩)闆婚噺涓垎鍒ュ崰鍒� 24%銆�20%銆�15%銆�12%, 5%鍜� 5%銆傚姞涔嬪ぇ鍨嬪彲鍐嶇敓鑳芥簮鐨勭櫦(f膩)灞�锛屽皪鐝�(xi脿n)鏈夊ぇ鍨嬬叅闆诲拰澶╃劧姘ｉ浕寤犵殑闇€姹傚皣鍙楀埌鎿犲銆傜洝绠￠浕鍕曟苯杌婂付渚嗙殑鐢ㄩ浕闇€姹傛湁鎵€澧炲姞锛岄€欎簺澶у瀷鍖栫煶鐕冩枡闆诲粻浠嶅皣闈㈣嚚鐩堝埄澹撳姏銆�
姝愭床鍜岀編鍦嬬叅闆昏妤�(y猫)鐡﹁В锛屼腑鍦嬬叅闆荤董鎸佸闀蜂絾灏囧湪 2026 骞撮仈(d谩)鍒板嘲鍊�
鐢变簬闇€姹傜柌寮便€佸粔鍍圭殑鍙啀鐢熻兘婧愭矕鎿婂強鐓ゅ埗姘ｉ€�(j矛n)绋嬬殑涓嶆柗鎺ㄩ€�(j矛n)锛屾瓙娲茬叅鐐敤閲忓湪 2040 骞村墠灏囧ぇ骞呮笡灏�87%銆傜敱浜庤€佽垔闆诲粻灏氭湭閫€褰�锛屽叾瀹冮浕寤犻枊濮嬩娇鐢ㄦ洿渚垮疁鐨勫ぉ鐒舵埃锛岀編鍦嬮浕鍔涢牁(l菒ng)鍩熺殑鐓ょ偔鐢ㄩ噺灏囦笅闄� 45%銆備腑鍦嬬叅闆诲湪鏈締鍗佸勾绻肩簩(x霉)澧為暦 20%锛屼絾灏囧湪 2026 骞撮仈(d谩)鍒伴爞宄�銆傚叏鐞冭寖鍦嶅収(n猫i)锛屾垜鍊戦爯(y霉)瑷堝皣鏈� 369GW 鐨勮▓鍔冩柊寤虹叅闆婚爡鐩鍙栨秷锛屽叾涓笁鍒嗕箣涓€鍦ㄥ嵃搴︼紝鍏ㄧ悆闆诲姏闋�(l菒ng)鍩熺殑鍕曞姏鐓ら渶姹傚皣鍦� 2016-40 骞存湡闁撻檷浣� 15%銆�
澶╃劧姘ｇ殑纰烘槸涓€绋亷娓＄噧鏂欙紝浣嗕笉鏄互澶у鏁�(sh霉)浜鸿獚(r猫n)鐐虹殑鏂瑰紡
澶╃劧姘ｇ櫦(f膩)闆诲湪 2040 骞村墠鐨勬柊澧炴姇璩囧皣閬�(d谩)鍒� 8,040 鍎勭編鍏�锛屾柊澧炶姗�(j墨)瀹归噺澧炲箙閬�(d谩) 16%銆傚ぉ鐒舵埃鐧�(f膩)闆诲粻灏囪秺渚嗚秺澶氬湴浣滅偤涓€绋潏娲绘€х櫦(f膩)闆绘妧琛�(sh霉)锛屽湪鍙啀鐢熻兘婧愮櫦(f膩)闆讳笉鏂峰闀风殑鏅備唬锛屽崝(xi茅)鍔╂豢瓒冲嘲鏅傜敤闆婚渶姹傚苟鎻愪緵绯荤当(t菕ng)绌�(w臎n)瀹氭€�锛岃€屼笉鏄敤浜庡彇浠ｂ€滃熀鑽封€濈叅闆�銆傜劧鑰�锛屽湪鍎查噺璞愬瘜涓旀垚鏈綆寤夌殑缇庢床锛屽ぉ鐒舵埃灏囧湪鐗瑰垾鏄煭鏈熷収(n猫i)鐧�(f膩)鎻洿鍔犳牳蹇冪殑浣滅敤銆�
鍏ㄧ悆鐧�(f膩)闆婚牁(l菒ng)鍩熸帓鏀惧皣鍦� 10 骞村乏鍙抽仈(d谩)鍒伴爞宄帮紝鐒跺悗闁嬪涓嬮檷
鍏ㄧ悆闆诲姏闋�(l菒ng)鍩熺殑浜屾哀鍖栫⒊鎺掓斁灏囧湪 2026 骞撮仈(d谩)鍒伴爞宄板墠绻肩簩(x霉)澧為暦 10%锛岃€屽悗杓冩鍓嶉爯(y霉)鏈熼€�(j矛n)涓€姝ュ姞閫熶笅闄�銆傞€欒垏涓湅鐨勭叅闆荤櫦(f膩)闆婚噺鐨勮蛋鍕竴鑷�銆傛垜鍊戦爯(y霉)瑷�锛岀敱浜庡嵃搴﹂枊濮嬪ぇ鍔涚櫦(f膩)灞曞お闄借兘闋�(l菒ng)鍩�锛屾姇璩� 4, 050 鍎勭編鍏冪敤浜庡缓瑷�(sh猫) 660GW 鍏変紡鏂板瑁濇(j墨)瀹归噺锛岃┎鍦嬬殑鎺掓斁灏囨瘮鎴戝€戝湪銆�2016 骞存柊鑳芥簮灞曟湜銆嬪牨鍛婁腑鐨勯爯(y霉)娓綆 44%銆傛暣楂斾締瑾�锛�2040 骞寸殑鍏ㄧ悆鎺掓斁灏囨瘮 2016 骞存按骞充綆 4%锛屼絾閬�(yu菐n)涓嶈冻浠ュ鐝�(xi脿n)灏囧叏鐞冭畩鏆栨帶鍒跺湪 2 鏀濇皬搴︿互鍏�(n猫i)鐨勭洰妯�(bi膩o)銆傝瀵︾従(xi脿n) 2 鏀濇皬搴﹂€欎竴鐩(bi膩o)锛屽叏鐞冨繀闋堥€�(j矛n)涓€姝ユ姇璩� 5.3 钀剟缇庡厓寤鸿ō(sh猫) 3.9TW 闆舵帓鏀剧櫦(f膩)闆诲閲�銆�
闆栫劧缇庡湅绺界当(t菕ng)鐗规湕鏅叕闁嬭伈鏄庢敮鎸佺叅鐐妤�(y猫)锛岀劧鑰屾垜鍊戠殑 銆�2017 骞存柊鑳芥簮灞曟湜銆嬪牨鍛婇’绀猴紝鏈締浜屽崄骞寸殑鐝�(xi脿n)瀵︾稉(j墨ng)婵�(j矛)鐠�(hu谩n)澧冨苟涓嶆渻鍌惧悜缇庡湅鐨勭叅鐐櫦(f膩)闆�锛屾垜鍊戦爯(y霉)娓編鍦嬬叅闆诲埌 2040 骞存渻姣旂従(xi脿n)鍦ㄦ笡灏�51%銆傚彇鑰屼唬涔嬬殑鏈冩槸姘ｉ浕鍙婂彲鍐嶇敓鑳芥簮锛屾疾骞呭垎鍒ョ偤 22%鍜� 169%銆�
鏈締闆诲姏绯荤当(t菕ng)闈㈣嚚鐨勫叾涓竴鍊嬮噸澶у晱椤屾槸濡備綍鍦ㄤ繚璀変緵闆荤┅(w臎n)瀹氭€х殑鍩虹(ch菙)涓婂ぇ閲忕櫦(f膩)灞曢ⅷ(f膿ng)闆诲強澶櫧鑳姐€傚悓鏅備篃鏈変汉鎿�(d膩n)蹇冮亷浜庝究瀹滅殑娓呮綌鑳芥簮灏囧皪闆诲児甯朵締娌栨搳锛屽緸鑰屾摖澹撶叅闆�銆佸ぉ鐒舵埃鍜屾牳闆荤瓑鍩鸿嵎闆诲姏銆�
褰崥鏂拌兘婧愯病缍�(j墨ng)銆�2017 骞存柊鑳芥簮灞曟湜銆嬪牨鍛婄殑涓昏浣滆€� Elena Giannakopoulou 璜囧埌锛氣€滈€欐鐨勯爯(y霉)娓’绀洪浕鍕曟苯杌婃櫤鑳藉厖闆�銆佸鐢ㄥ強宸ュ晢妤�(y猫)鐢ㄥ皬鍨嬮浕姹犵郴绲�(t菕ng)銆侀€ｆ帴闆荤恫(w菐ng)鐨勫ぇ鍨嬮浕绔欑礆鍎茶兘鍦ㄥ钩琛″彲鐢遍ⅷ(f膿ng)鍔涘拰澶櫧鑳界櫦(f膩)闆婚€犳垚鐨勫嘲璋锋柟闈㈤兘璧峰埌闈炲父澶х殑浣滅敤?锛�?br /> 褰崥鏂拌兘婧愯病缍�(j墨ng)棣栧腑鍩�(zh铆)琛屽畼 Jon Moore 琛ㄧず锛氣€溿€婃柊鑳芥簮灞曟湜銆嬪牨鍛婂熀浜庡江鍗氭柊鑳芥簮璨＄稉(j墨ng)鍗佷綑骞翠締灏嶆妧琛�(sh霉)鎴愭湰鑸囪兘婧愮郴绲�(t菕ng)杞�(zhu菐n)鍨嬫绋嬪強鏈締瓒ㄥ嫝鐨勬繁鍒荤悊瑙�銆傜敱浜庨ⅷ(f膿ng)闆诲お闄借兘鐨勬垚鏈’钁椾笅闄嶅強鍎茶兘鐨勫揩閫熷闀�锛屼粖骞寸殑銆婃柊鑳芥簮灞曟湜銆嬮’绀轰簡姣旀垜鍊戝線骞撮爯(y霉)娓洿鐐烘縺閫�(j矛n)鐨勪綆纰宠綁(zhu菐n)鍨�?锛�?br /> 娉細闆诲姏骞虫簴(zh菙n)鍖栨垚鏈寘鎷柊寤洪浕寤犵殑鍏ㄧ敓鍛藉懆鏈熺櫦(f膩)闆绘垚鏈�銆傞€欎簺鎴愭湰鍖呮嫭鍫村湴闁嬬櫦(f膩)銆佽ū鍙€佽ō(sh猫)鍌欏強鍦熸湪宸ョ▼銆佽病鍕�(w霉)銆侀亱鐕熷強缍(h霉)鍜屽師鏂欙紙濡傛湁锛夎不鐢ㄣ€�
2040 骞村叏鐞冪櫦(f膩)闆婚噺妲�(g貌u)鎴�